Good Morning Everyone,
In addition to the briefing email sent this morning, we wanted to reiterate that we are expecting a high impact, multi-faceted severe weather event for southern New England this afternoon. In fact, we anticipate that this will be the highest impact severe event we have experienced certainly this summer, if not in the last few years.
There are several hazards in play today including:
- The possibility for brief tornadoes. While a risk of just "5%" may seem low, it is actually about ~25x greater than a typical July day
- Straight line wind damage
- Flooding rains; some areas of southern New England have 1 hour flash flood guidance of just ~1.5"!
The potential for these hazards extends across much of southern New England, with the greatest risk for tornadoes highest across the interior, though the potential exists anywhere. Those with outdoor plans today should heed extra caution, as conditions may change quickly.
Attached is a loop simulating ONE potential look at how things will develop this afternoon. Keep in mind that this simulation may not be exact.
Please let us know if you have any questions or concerns. We are more than happy to assist!
Torry Dooley and Kristie Smith
If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat, or at the following:
National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA
46 Commerce Way