**** The information in this email pertains to the following areas only:**** *- In Connecticut: Litchfield County* *- In Massachusetts: Berkshire County* *- In Vermont: Bennington & Windham Counties* *- In New York: Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Greene, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Ulster, Warren and Washington Counties* Dear Emergency Managers and other partners, A storm system will bring widespread precipitation to the forecast area Sunday night into Tuesday, including the potential for a wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow. There are a wide variety of solutions this storm could produce across the region. Anything from a cold rain to a large area of mixed precipitation is possible. Warmest solution: - Widespread 1-2 inches of rain leading to rises on rivers to near bankful. - With large amounts of ice noted on smaller creeks and streams, and river rises expected on Monday, there will be a threat of some minor localized flooding due to ice breaking up and clogging small pipes and culverts. Ice is not yet thick enough to jam on larger rivers. Middle solution: - The northeastern part of the Albany forecast area (southern Adirondacks, Lake George/Saratoga region, northern Taconics, southern Vermont and the northern Berkshires) would see mixed precipitation in the form of snow, sleet and freezing rain. - Enough ice could form to down trees and power lines and lead to scattered power outages. - The southwestern part of the area would see mostly rain with rises on area creeks, streams and rivers. Coldest solution: - Mixed precipitation (i.e. sleet and freezing rain) would affect portions of the Mohawk Valley, eastern Catskills, Capital District, mid-Hudson Valley, southern Berkshires, southern Taconics and Litchfield County, Connecticut. - Enough ice could form to down trees and power lines and lead to scattered power outages. - Areas north and east would see mostly snow and sleet, with a moderate accumulation, enough to plow. Timing of this system: - Light precipitation begins around sunset Sunday evening, becoming steadier and heavier overnight. - Steady to heavy precipitation continues for most of Monday, becoming lighter by the evening. As of right now, we are favoring more of the colder solution; however, there remains a great deal of uncertainty and further changes are expected. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact us via: 1. Email: alb.stormreport@noaa.gov 2. NWSChat at https://nwschat.weather.gov/live/ 3. Social Media: Facebook <https://www.facebook.com/NWSAlbany> and Twitter <https://twitter.com/NWSAlbany> 4. Telephone: (518) 435-9575 <518-435-9575> Sincerely, NWS Albany www.weather.gov/albany