Good Afternoon, We are closely evaluating the expected development of a strong storm system that will impact southern New England late Sunday into Monday -- with increasing probability that it will produce a period of strong wind gusts of 45-60 mph, locally heavy rainfall and perhaps some minor coastal flooding. More information is provided in the 1-Pager briefing that is attached, and we will be working to determine more of the details in the coming couple of days. Also attached to this email are two separate images. 1) Current probability of wind gusts exceeding 45 mph. The point probability values are plotted on the map, though the yellow and orange shaded areas denote where the current chances of seeing those strong wind gusts are above 50%. 2) A snapshot from our Ensemble River Forecast <https://www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs>system. Of note are the locations with orange circles which represent a 30% chance of a river reaching minor flood stage. These outlooks will likely change in the coming days as the rainfall forecasts from computer models converge on a most likely outcome. Thought this link would be helpful for some of you. At this point, we are not planning on issuing another briefing until tomorrow (Friday) afternoon. Andy Nash, Kevin Cadima, Bryce Williams and Kyle Pederson If you have any questions or would like more information, please don't hesitate to contact us. You can reach us via: email: box.operations@noaa.gov phone: 508.622.3280 Slack/NWSChat 2.0 <https://nwschatws.slack.com/> (for approved partners) social media: Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>
