September 2019 - Weather - mailman.dca2.superb.net

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #634 until 9 PM EDT Wednesday
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 04 Sep '19

04 Sep '19

Good afternoon, Just a quick notification about Severe Thunderstorm Watch #634, which is in effect until 9 PM EDT tonight. This is in effect for all of Connecticut, Providence County in Rhode Island, and all of Massachusetts except from Suffolk and Norfolk counties southeast. [image: image.png] Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.04 12 PM] Hurricane Dorian Briefing for Emergency Management
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 04 Sep '19

04 Sep '19

Good afternoon, Here is the latest information regarding potential impacts from Dorian later this week. No conference calls are planned at this time. We expect to have more details later this week. *Period of greatest Threat:* Friday night into Saturday morning *Locations most at risk*: Cape and islands, as well as the adjacent coastal waters *Confidence*: Low confidence overall, especially in regards to wind and rainfall impacts. That will depend on the track, size and speed of Dorian. *High *confidence in a rip current threat late today into Sunday along ocean-exposed, south-facing beaches. Rough surf is likely, too. While an offshore track is most likely, it should be noted the average error the past 5 years for a forecast at this time range is about *90 miles.* Should Dorian track farther south and east, the wind and rainfall threats would be reduced. The rip current/rough surf threat is almost a certainty. As of the 11 AM forecast, the wind treat for portions of southern New England has remained nearly steady across the Cape, Vineyard and Block Island. The wind threat has *increased *slightly for Nantucket. The greatest threat remains over the coastal waters south and east of Nantucket. The next scheduled briefing is after the 5 PM Wednesday advisory from the National Hurricane Center, unless there is a need for a briefing sooner. Should you require any updates prior to that time, please feel free to contact us. Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.04 AM] Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 04 Sep '19

04 Sep '19

Greetings, There remains the risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon into evening. *What*: - Isolated to scattered thunderstorms, some of which may be severe. - Main threats are damaging winds and locally heavy downpours. - Larger hail and tornadoes are not impossible, but are a low risk. *When*: - Greatest threat between 2 pm and 8 pm today. *Where*: - Interior southern New England. - Mostly north and west of the Boston to Providence corridor. Respectfully, Benjamin Sipprell Meteorologist NWS Boston / Norton If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.03 5 PM] Hurricane Dorian Briefing for Emergency Management
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 03 Sep '19

03 Sep '19

Good morning, Here is the latest information regarding potential impacts from Dorian later this week. No conference calls are planned at this time. We expect to have more details as this week progresses. *Period of greatest Threat:* Late Friday into Saturday morning *Locations most at risk*: Cape and islands, as well as the adjacent coastal waters *Confidence*: Low confidence overall, especially in regards to wind and rainfall impacts. That will depend on the track, size and speed of Dorian. *High *confidence in a rip current threat late Wednesday into Sunday along ocean-exposed, south-facing beaches. Rough surf is likely, too. While an offshore track is most likely, it should be noted the average error the past 5 years for a forecast at this time range is about *105 miles.* Should Dorian track farther south and east, the wind and rainfall threats would be reduced. The rip current/rough surf threat is almost a certainty. As of the 5 PM forecast, the wind treat for portions of southern New England has remained nearly steady. The greatest threat remains over the coastal waters south and east of Nantucket. The next scheduled briefing is after the 11 AM Wednesday advisory from the National Hurricane Center, unless there is a need for a briefing sooner. Should you require any updates prior to that time, please feel free to contact us. Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.03 PM] Severe Thunderstorms Possible Wednesday
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 03 Sep '19

03 Sep '19

Good afternoon, all: We wanted to bring your attention to the risk for some severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and evening. *What:* Isolated to scattered thunderstorms, some of which may be severe. Main threats are damaging winds and local downpours. Larger hail and tornadoes are not impossible, but are a very low risk. *When:* Greatest threat between 2 PM and 10 PM Wednesday *Where:* Interior southern New England most at risk. *Uncertainties: *Risk for severe thunderstorms farther east, especially across southeast MA and the coastal waters. Expecting morning fog and low clouds to limit risk there. Still have low confidence on exact timing and location. Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.03] Hurricane Dorian Briefing for Emergency Management
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 03 Sep '19

03 Sep '19

Good morning, We wanted to get some updated information out to you regarding potential impacts from Dorian later this week. No conference calls are planned at this time. We expect to have more details as this week progresses. *Period of greatest Threat:* Late Friday into Saturday morning *Locations most at risk*: Cape and islands, as well as the adjacent coastal waters *Confidence*: Low confidence overall, especially in regards to wind and rainfall. That will depend on the track of Dorian. *High *confidence in a rip current threat late Wednesday into Saturday along ocean-exposed, south-facing beaches. Rough surf is likely, too. While an offshore track is most likely, it should be noted the average error the past 5 years for a forecast at this time range is *105 miles.* Should Dorian track farther south and east, the wind and rainfall threats would be reduced. The rip current/rough surf threat is almost a certainty. As of the 11 AM forecast, there has been a *decreasing *trend in the wind treat for southern New England. The greatest threat remains over the coastal waters south and east of Nantucket. The next scheduled briefing is after the 5 PM advisory from the National Hurricane Center, unless there is a need for a briefing sooner. Should you require any updates prior to that time, please feel free to contact us. Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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[2019.09.02 PM] Hurricane Dorian
by BOX Operations - NOAA Service Account 02 Sep '19

02 Sep '19

Good afternoon, We wanted to get this initial information out to you regarding potential impacts from Dorian later this week. No conference calls are planned at this time. We expect to have more details as this week progresses. *Period of greatest Threat:* Late Friday into Saturday morning *Locations most at risk*: Cape and islands, as well as the adjacent coastal waters *Confidence*: Low confidence overall, especially in regards to wind and rainfall. That will depend on the track of Dorian. *High *confidence in a rip current threat late Wednesday into Saturday along ocean-exposed, south-facing beaches. Rough surf is likely, too. While an offshore track is most likely, it should be noted the average error the past 5 years for a forecast at this time range is *140 miles.* Should Dorian track farther south and east, the wind and rainfall threats would be reduced. The rip current/rough surf threat is almost a certainty. The next scheduled briefing is 5 PM Tuesday, unless there is a need for a briefing sooner. Matthew Belk If you have any questions or would like more information, don't hesitate to contact us via this email address, on NWSChat <https://nwschat.weather.gov/>, or at the following: National Weather Service Boston/Norton, MA 46 Commerce Way Norton, MA 02766 508.622.3280 Website <http://www.weather.gov/boston> | Facebook <http://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston> | Twitter <http://www.twitter.com/NWSBoston>

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